Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.037650 0.040615 0.043725 0.047235 0.051092 0.055207 0.059940
2025-05-18 0.032701 0.036864 0.041469 0.046962 0.053362 0.060613 0.069496
2025-05-25 0.029455 0.034309 0.039897 0.046848 0.055321 0.065389 0.078367
2025-06-01 0.026754 0.031973 0.038174 0.046152 0.056241 0.068707 0.085477
2025-06-08 0.024510 0.029921 0.036520 0.045256 0.056654 0.071218 0.091556
2025-06-15 0.022843 0.028412 0.035365 0.044802 0.057469 0.074157 0.098277
2025-06-22 0.021442 0.027117 0.034349 0.044392 0.058221 0.076960 0.104922
2025-06-29 0.020054 0.025732 0.033101 0.043543 0.058252 0.078693 0.110091
2025-07-06 0.019322 0.025158 0.032873 0.044032 0.060124 0.083078 0.119421
2025-07-13 0.018494 0.024397 0.032331 0.044019 0.061237 0.086394 0.127358
2025-07-20 0.017923 0.023950 0.032182 0.044534 0.063120 0.090938 0.137543
2025-07-27 0.017167 0.023199 0.031554 0.044298 0.063837 0.093718 0.145083
2025-08-03 0.016478 0.022515 0.030996 0.044139 0.064675 0.096766 0.153388
2025-08-10 0.015813 0.021831 0.030399 0.043881 0.065327 0.099547 0.161470
2025-08-17 0.015240 0.021254 0.029925 0.043774 0.066195 0.102714 0.170482
2025-08-24 0.014567 0.020496 0.029141 0.043132 0.066141 0.104313 0.176779
2025-08-31 0.013894 0.019708 0.028274 0.042306 0.065720 0.105237 0.181874
2025-09-07 0.013369 0.019120 0.027685 0.041888 0.065946 0.107277 0.189237
2025-09-14 0.012888 0.018578 0.027140 0.041510 0.066206 0.109377 0.196881
2025-09-21 0.012342 0.017915 0.026376 0.040727 0.065710 0.110063 0.201744
2025-09-28 0.012110 0.017729 0.026354 0.041178 0.067401 0.114864 0.215435
2025-10-05 0.011788 0.017389 0.026070 0.041166 0.068255 0.118146 0.226265
2025-10-12 0.011587 0.017231 0.026073 0.041641 0.070014 0.123269 0.241559